Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.425557 3.838340 4.285738 4.807411 5.399908 6.052982 6.828801
2024-10-06 2.956815 3.533386 4.203889 5.044214 6.073373 7.297983 8.873366
2024-10-13 2.550807 3.198269 3.992086 5.043066 6.407078 8.129787 10.489751
2024-10-20 2.241405 2.921221 3.791124 4.995629 6.635460 8.811841 11.955340
2024-10-27 1.919775 2.582181 3.459977 4.721151 6.507698 8.979352 12.712652
2024-11-03 1.755793 2.431167 3.355533 4.730038 6.750901 9.658395 14.240834
2024-11-10 1.653142 2.351304 3.335932 4.847773 7.149587 10.586272 16.226915
2024-11-17 1.541391 2.245702 3.266104 4.878949 7.413766 11.328720 17.998932
2024-11-24 1.443692 2.150584 3.200580 4.905592 7.666098 12.067768 19.837569
2024-12-01 1.356444 2.062794 3.136666 4.925126 7.902963 12.796787 21.732006
2024-12-08 1.249260 1.934916 2.999097 4.811900 7.907038 13.134050 22.974400
2024-12-15 1.171853 1.847691 2.918001 4.782053 8.044348 13.704021 24.688450
2024-12-22 1.097966 1.762455 2.836355 4.748937 8.181152 14.301276 26.556076
2024-12-29 1.076707 1.762208 2.894765 4.961648 8.774188 15.781283 30.306590
2025-01-05 1.018141 1.694420 2.833184 4.955793 8.965920 16.533669 32.706407
2025-01-12 0.958030 1.619388 2.752970 4.908198 9.072659 17.130587 34.856782
2025-01-19 0.868426 1.486604 2.561595 4.638767 8.727146 16.802260 34.996745
2025-01-26 0.828588 1.439475 2.519864 4.647432 8.926867 17.587109 37.662257
2025-02-02 0.807022 1.423650 2.533523 4.762889 9.350316 18.874387 41.626382
2025-02-09 0.775290 1.386880 2.505467 4.793462 9.601034 19.820569 44.925143
2025-02-16 0.745226 1.351144 2.476641 4.819590 9.843784 20.772819 48.366113
2025-02-23 0.716368 1.315749 2.445850 4.838746 10.072417 21.715880 51.913048
2025-03-02 0.674254 1.252224 2.356016 4.727704 10.004284 21.974239 53.753036